Loading required package: Matrix
Loading required package: metadat
Loading required package: numDeriv

Loading the 'metafor' package (version 4.6-0). For an
introduction to the package please type: help(metafor)

Loading 'puniform' package (Version 0.2.7)
corrplot 0.94 loaded

Attaching package: 'dplyr'

The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':

    filter, lag

The following objects are masked from 'package:base':

    intersect, setdiff, setequal, union


Attaching package: 'tidyr'

The following objects are masked from 'package:Matrix':

    expand, pack, unpack

Warning message:
package 'ggplot2' was built under R version 4.4.3 
Loaded 885 rows x 179 cols (raw extraction)
Analysis dataset (777 target): 777 rows from 116 studies
After SE_win > 0 filter: 702 rows
Added 11 block-unknown indicators; recoded dummy NAs to 0
Warning messages:
1: In summary.lm(fit) : essentially perfect fit: summary may be unreliable
2: In summary.lm(fit) : essentially perfect fit: summary may be unreliable
BMA matrix:  692  x  78 
BMA done. Top PIPs (UIP+Dilution):
                              prior               variable     PIP   PostMean
SE_win                 UIP_dilution                 SE_win 1.00000  0.9986354
PR_Friedman_rule       UIP_dilution       PR_Friedman_rule 1.00000 -3.2960758
PR_Laissez_faire       UIP_dilution       PR_Laissez_faire 1.00000  4.0231510
NFT_Taylor_contracts   UIP_dilution   NFT_Taylor_contracts 1.00000 -3.5125046
MDT_cashless           UIP_dilution           MDT_cashless 1.00000  1.5074928
SHK_TFP                UIP_dilution                SHK_TFP 0.99961 -1.2721997
MDT_CIA                UIP_dilution                MDT_CIA 0.99809 -1.4699286
WRT_Rotemberg_wages    UIP_dilution    WRT_Rotemberg_wages 0.97484  2.1503458
SHK_Cost_push          UIP_dilution          SHK_Cost_push 0.95651  1.8268003
WRT_DNWR               UIP_dilution               WRT_DNWR 0.94629  1.5525533
Affil_central_bank     UIP_dilution     Affil_central_bank 0.93771 -0.8163925
PUB_working_paper      UIP_dilution      PUB_working_paper 0.89211  0.8727310
EST_Bayesian           UIP_dilution           EST_Bayesian 0.85283  1.2831471
PR_Inflation_targeting UIP_dilution PR_Inflation_targeting 0.82161  1.4987268
Affil_mixed            UIP_dilution            Affil_mixed 0.80784  0.7008337
                          PostSD   CondMean
SE_win                 0.1730439  0.9986354
PR_Friedman_rule       0.4985711 -3.2960758
PR_Laissez_faire       0.7442749  4.0231510
NFT_Taylor_contracts   0.6644581 -3.5125046
MDT_cashless           0.2215299  1.5074928
SHK_TFP                0.2624765 -1.2726960
MDT_CIA                0.3361026 -1.4727415
WRT_Rotemberg_wages    0.5584164  2.2058449
SHK_Cost_push          0.6179784  1.9098601
WRT_DNWR               0.5114127  1.6406739
Affil_central_bank     0.3074739 -0.8706236
PUB_working_paper      0.4564944  0.9782774
EST_Bayesian           0.6945751  1.5045755
PR_Inflation_targeting 0.8420826  1.8241341
Affil_mixed            0.4116279  0.8675402

Robustness BMA (no SE) top PIPs:
                                   prior               variable     PIP
PR_Friedman_rule       UIP_dilution_noSE       PR_Friedman_rule 1.00000
PR_Laissez_faire       UIP_dilution_noSE       PR_Laissez_faire 1.00000
SHK_TFP                UIP_dilution_noSE                SHK_TFP 1.00000
NFT_Taylor_contracts   UIP_dilution_noSE   NFT_Taylor_contracts 1.00000
MDT_CIA                UIP_dilution_noSE                MDT_CIA 1.00000
MDT_cashless           UIP_dilution_noSE           MDT_cashless 1.00000
WRT_Rotemberg_wages    UIP_dilution_noSE    WRT_Rotemberg_wages 0.99651
Affil_central_bank     UIP_dilution_noSE     Affil_central_bank 0.99640
SHK_Cost_push          UIP_dilution_noSE          SHK_Cost_push 0.98646
WRT_DNWR               UIP_dilution_noSE               WRT_DNWR 0.93156
IND_hybrid             UIP_dilution_noSE             IND_hybrid 0.88156
SST_stochastic         UIP_dilution_noSE         SST_stochastic 0.87646
SST_deterministic      UIP_dilution_noSE      SST_deterministic 0.86374
PR_Inflation_targeting UIP_dilution_noSE PR_Inflation_targeting 0.72151
SEN_comparison         UIP_dilution_noSE         SEN_comparison 0.69870
                        PostMean    PostSD   CondMean
PR_Friedman_rule       -2.722393 0.4941308 -2.7223928
PR_Laissez_faire        4.687559 0.7707777  4.6875593
SHK_TFP                -1.701397 0.2551981 -1.7013973
NFT_Taylor_contracts   -3.420873 0.6716390 -3.4208733
MDT_CIA                -1.809686 0.3357715 -1.8096857
MDT_cashless            1.222287 0.2386956  1.2222873
WRT_Rotemberg_wages     2.371010 0.4576045  2.3793136
Affil_central_bank     -1.098944 0.2751627 -1.1029145
SHK_Cost_push           2.281955 0.6206712  2.3132770
WRT_DNWR                1.415223 0.5479962  1.5191968
IND_hybrid              1.581876 0.7501955  1.7944053
SST_stochastic         -4.259675 2.0521597 -4.8600905
SST_deterministic      -4.078505 2.0237063 -4.7219128
PR_Inflation_targeting  1.235305 0.8901834  1.7121107
SEN_comparison         -0.453127 0.3422011 -0.6485287
null device 
          1 

Scenario predictions (UIP+dilution, n=692):
 scenario       fit         lo       hi   n  samp_sd
 baseline 0.7489207 -1.6762660 3.174107 692 2.425187
 cashless 1.4509610 -0.2694535 3.171375 373 1.720414
     dnwr 2.3284366  1.1506648 3.506208  41 1.177772
 dnwr_zlb 2.3213204  1.1748126 3.467828  26 1.146508
     hank 0.7418045 -3.2498958 4.733505  36 3.991700
Fixed term is "(Intercept)"
FMA done (MuMIn, top 14).
Warning message:
package 'MuMIn' was built under R version 4.4.3 
p-uniform* input (paper medians):  88  papers
After variance filter:  88  papers
p-uniform* results saved.
There were 12 warnings (use warnings() to see them)
Genuine-SE rows:  16 
Corrplot saved.

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Inflation_v34.R finished. Outputs in out_v34/
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