Abstract

We analyze 1334 estimates from 67 studies that examine the effect of financial development on economic growth. Taken together, the studies imply a positive and statistically significant effect, but the individual estimates vary widely. We find that both research design and heterogeneity in the underlying effect play a role in explaining the differences in results. Studies that do not address endogeneity tend to overstate the effect of finance on growth. While the effect seems to be weaker in poor countries, the effect decreases worldwide after the 1980s. Our results also suggest that stock markets support faster economic growth than other financial intermediaries. We find little evidence of publication bias in the literature.

suggested citation: Petra Valickova, Tomas Havranek, and Roman Horvath (2015), "Financial Development and Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis." Journal of Economic Surveys 29(3), 506-526.

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Headline result

Effect of financial development on economic growth: the meta-analytic estimate is positive but widely varying; studies ignoring endogeneity overstate it, and the effect weakens after the 1980s and in poorer countries, based on 1,334 estimates from 67 studies (Valickova et al. 2015, Journal of Economic Surveys).

How to cite

Petra Valickova, Tomas Havranek, and Roman Horvath (2015), "Financial Development and Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis." Journal of Economic Surveys 29(3), 506-526.

BibTeX 
@article{valickova2015finance_growth,
  author  = {Petra Valickova and Tomas Havranek and Roman Horvath},
  title   = {Financial Development and Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis},
  journal = {Journal of Economic Surveys},
  year    = {2015},
  doi     = {10.1111/joes.12068},
}